Giants vs Bengals-Preview and Prediction
Written by: Tony “The Prophet” Yantosca
The Giants come off the bye and have an easier matchup vs the Bengals. The Gmen are looking for the franchise’s 700th win. The franchise is 699-615-33. It took Joe Judge 8 weeks to figure out what he had in Daniel Jones. He is a game manager in the tradition of the best game managers of all time, like Alex Smith, Case Keenum and Brad Johnson. The Judge game plan is to run the ball, play good defense and take the ball out of the hands of Daniel Jones so he has as few turnovers as possible. Hopefully they get the lead and Jones is not put into any adverse situations. #DannyTurnover has gone 2 weeks without a turnover. Jones had a turnover in 19 of his first 20 starts!
Look at the evidence through week 11. Jones is 31st in passer rating at 78.2. The only quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts that have a lower rating are Dalton, Wentz, Lock and Lufton. Jones has 212 passing yards/game, 8 TD’s and 9 interceptions. He has run for 384 yards, 38 yards a game, but has only 1 rushing touchdown. Because he had the long run vs the Eagles where he tripped over his feet, everyone thinks he’s running for more yards than he is. In passing, Jones is at 6.4 YPA, yards per attempt, which is 31st for any quarterback with at least 1000 yards passing. The Giants have 17 offensive touchdowns in 10 games! They have another 2 defensive touchdowns. The Giants have scored 19.5 points per game through 10 games.
Here is your 6th overall pick, Daniel Jones, offensive stats! These are nit pretty but #TogetherBlue Giants Nation still think he is The Messiah especially since he won 2 games in a row vs bad teams.
Total Points scored: 30th
Passing yards: 29th
Rush Yards: 18th
Time on the field: 23th
Number of plays: 24th
Yards per play: 29th
As you can see this is not what is expected of someone drafted so high. You cannot even say he has not played enough games. We have seen rookie Justin Herbert start with 5 minutes notice. In his 9 starts, he has given the best performance of any rookie quarterback in the 100 years of the league. This includes all the immortals like Marino, Elway, Brady and Peyton Manning. Joe Burrow who should be the quarterback in this game, also had a blistering start with the worst offensive line in the league that was ultimately his undoing with a crippling injury.
Looking at the game, the Giants will want to use this run formula in this game. The Bengals give up 136 yards/game which is 30th. Prior to week 7 Gallman had not gone 2 straight games with double digit carries in his career. When Freeman went down, he got his chance. From weeks 7-10, Gallman ran for 199 yards on 57 carries, 3.7 YPC. He has 5 touchdowns in these 4 weeks and they match all the touchdowns he had in the previous 43 career games. Jones has averaged 38 yards/game rushing and I expect him to have some RPO designed for him. He also runs when the plays break down.
The Giants should be able to get the run game going and take some shots in the pass game off it. Slayton, Engram and Shepard can have big games. However, this one feels like they will take the air out of the ball with the run game. Jones will have time to throw because the Bengals only have 13 sacks which is tied for 28th in the NFL. The Giants have only scored a touchdown on 20 of 37 red zone drives. The 54.1% is the 30thranked in the NFL. Conversely, the Bengals give up a touchdown on 27 of 38 drives for a high 71.1% red zone conversion which is 4th highest in the NFL The Giants have been more efficient lately with a touchdown on 9 of the last 11. This is another reason they are winning.
When the Bengals have the ball, it will be time for the Giants defense to shine. The worst offensive line in the league in Cincinnati has given up 36 sacks and 77 quarterback hits. That’s why it was a matter of time for Burrow to get injured. It’s all on the Bengals management for not improving the line with a once every 5-year quarterback prodigy coming in. Now you know why Burrow’s family was not excited and looked matter of fact on draft day when they showed pictures of the family.
When they planned to use Finlay as the starter the Giants had a good chance to dominate this game and win by 3 touchdowns. The Bengals came to their senses and decided to start Brandon Allen at quarterback. He has some experience but is a huge step done from Joe Burrow. In 3 games at Denver last year he had this stat line: 39 completions on 84 attempts, 46.4%, 6.1 YPA 515 yards, 3 TD’s and 2 interceptions. He was sacked 9 times and the Giants have a good chance to sack him 3-5 times, especially if they can force 3rd and long or grab a double-digitlead. The Gmen have 25 sacks so far. It looks like Xavier McKinney, the best safety in the draft, who was hurt in the preseason, is cleared to play. He is a great prospect from Alabama. Also pass rusher, Ximines looks like he will also be back after a long absence. This is great news for the defense which has played better than expected this year.
Joe Mixon is out so the run duties fall to Gio Bernard. However,he is coming out of concussion protocol. If he can’t go it will be a further blow to the Bengals whom will be forced to start Samaje Perine. NFL fans will remember him breaking into the league in 2017 with the Washington team. Allen will have to throw and he has good weapons. Outstanding rookie Tee Higgins will draw Bradberry as the X receiver. He is the deep threat with 43 receptions for 629 yards and 4 TD’s. That should leave Tyler Boyd over the middle out of the slot. He is having another good year with 69 receptions, 710 yards and 3 TD’s. AJ Green is a shell of himself but he can still make some plays. The question is will Allen have time to throw to the receivers.
The Giants continue to be road warriors. They are 5-0 vs the spread this season on the road and have covered their last 8 games. With all the injuries to the Bengals especially at quarterback and running back, this should be an easy win for the Giants. The Giants have scored at least 20 points the last 6 weeks. They had a horrible start scoring a total of 47 points the first 4 weeks. The Giants have also run for over 100 yards the past 5 weeks as the offensive line is building some continuity after starting without a preseason. I am calling this an easy win for the Giants 31 and the Bengals 14.